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Pittsburgh Steelers: 6 musts for making Super Bowl LIII – Part II

By Daryl Jaquette

TAMPA, FL - FEBRUARY 01: Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger #7 of the Pittsburgh Steelers celebrates with the Vince Lombardi Trophy after the Steelers won 27-23 against the Arizona Cardinals during Super Bowl XLIII on February 1, 2009 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
TAMPA, FL - FEBRUARY 01: Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger #7 of the Pittsburgh Steelers celebrates with the Vince Lombardi Trophy after the Steelers won 27-23 against the Arizona Cardinals during Super Bowl XLIII on February 1, 2009 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images) /
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DETROIT, MI – OCTOBER 29: Le’Veon Bell #26 of the Pittsburgh Steelers goes airborne over Detroit defenders Ezekiel Ansah #94 of the Detroit Lions, Tahir Whitehead #59 and Tavon Wilson #32 of the Detroit Lions during the first quarter at Ford Field on October 29, 2017 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Leon Halip/Getty Images)
DETROIT, MI – OCTOBER 29: Le’Veon Bell #26 of the Pittsburgh Steelers goes airborne over Detroit defenders Ezekiel Ansah #94 of the Detroit Lions, Tahir Whitehead #59 and Tavon Wilson #32 of the Detroit Lions during the first quarter at Ford Field on October 29, 2017 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Leon Halip/Getty Images) /

Getting some luck

Statistics illustrate that being lucky is just as important as being good. A Harvard Sports Analysis Collective study entitled Examining Luck in NFL Turnovers, shows that winning the turnover battle usually decides the outcome of games.

Having one more turnover than your opponent means you are 70% more likely to win that game. Plus two or more turnovers, means you have at least an 84% chance of winning. The Harvard study concluded that, over the course of a season, a team’s turnover differential explains 42% of its wins and, “just over half” of the turnover differential “is due to luck.” Therefore, luck contributes to at least three wins each season.

The Pittsburgh Steelers must understand they can influence luck. Winning the turnover battle is one way. Another way, is by playing smart and aggressively to put yourself in a position to make plays. Remember the Immaculate Reception? A tipped pass to an alert, hustling Franco Harris snatched victory from the Oakland Raiders.

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