The Steelers top-five most likely first round draft choices in 2022
Malik Willis, QB Liberty
Chances of being drafted by the Steelers: 17.71%
Pittsburgh likes Malik Willis and the mock drafts reflect this. However, there is only one way the Steelers are drafting Malik Willis: if they trade out of the 20th pick. Otherwise, the Steelers will need to settle on another selection.
In all 350 mock drafts, the Steelers, in landing Willis, make 14 trades to move up to get him. That’s a trade rate of 4%. So, in reality, if the Steelers do not trade up the chances, they get Willis to drop to 13.71%. Also, by not trading up and staying at 20 then, the additional 14 selections probably fall to Ridder instead, which bumps him closer to the 20%.
So the question really becomes, how much does Pittsburgh like Malik Willis? Does Kevin Colbert think Willis can be the franchise quarterback in one or two seasons, or is he content to stand pat and just let one of the quarterbacks fall to him at number 20?
Unfortunately, we can not answer this yet as there are only four days until the draft Steelers fans will have to wait patiently to see whether Pittsburgh pulls off a trade or if fans will have to wait through 19 picks before the Steelers have their big reveal.