3 Reasons Why the Steelers Will Upset the Browns in Week 3
I jumped on the Pittsburgh Steelers early yesterday against the Cleveland Browns in Week 3, but they’ve only become even bigger underdogs since. Patience pays off sometimes, and now Pittsburgh is an even bigger value with +194 odds to win outright.
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After you claim your $1,000 no-sweat bet, here’s why you can use it on the Steelers to upset the Browns:
3 Reasons Why the Steelers Will Upset the Browns
It’s Cleveland
I can’t figure out why the Browns are such large favorites. Has FanDuel forgotten this is Cleveland we’re talking about?
After letting the Jets pull off a miracle in Week 2, the Browns now haven’t covered the spread as a favorite in five consecutive games. Over their last 18 in this spot, they’re 5-13 against the spread. They needed a 58-yard field goal at the end of regulation to beat the hapless Panthers in Week 1, and Pittsburgh is much better than Carolina.
Steelers Defense
Even without TJ Watt, Pittsburgh’s defense is playing at an elite level. The Patriots essentially had one good offensive play, a 44-yard touchdown to Nelson Agholor, but their other score came after a muffed putt. Otherwise, the Steelers’ defense dominated the game. New England averaged only 4.0 yards per carry after the Bengals averaged 3.9, so Pittsburgh should keep Cleveland’s running game in check.
What the Steelers defense did on Sunday was an all time performance… not sure I’ve ever seen anything like it pic.twitter.com/q6EHUcvbSI
— Michael Beck (@MichaelBeck56) September 13, 2022
If the Browns can’t rely on Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt to move the ball, Jacoby Brissett hasn’t shown he can lead an effective offense. He’s averaging just 6.2 yards per passing attempt, which would have easily been the NFL’s worst mark last year.
Rely on Pittsburgh’s defense to propel the Steelers to victory.
Mike Tomlin’s Track Record as an Underdog
Mike Tomlin is an elite coach, plain and simple. The Steelers are 20-8-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 30 games as an underdog and 16-7 ATS in their last 23 as road underdogs.
They’ve had two straight road upsets and, given Cleveland’s tendency to invent ways to lose, we’re getting incredible value on Tomlin to do what he always does: give Pittsburgh a great chance to win.
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