Best NFL prop bets for Browns vs. Steelers in Week 18 (Pickett and Harris carry Pittsburgh… Again)
By Josh Yourish
The Cleveland Browns have been here time after time, with no hope for their season, but just trying to ruin the Steelers chance at the playoffs. I’m pretty sure the Browns might hang a banner if they can knock Pittsburgh out of the postseason at Acrisure Stadium this week.
But new franchise quarterback Kenny Pickett won’t let that happen and keep the team’s postseason hopes alive with a win.
Deshaun Watson has been horrible since coming back from suspension, and Pickett has been heroic down the stretch, so let’s place our prop bets accordingly.
Best NFL Prop Bets for Browns vs. Steelers
Kenny Pickett Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+163)
Najee Harris Over 73.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
David Njoku Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Kenny Pickett Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+163)
Pickett has been playing excellent football, but the numbers just aren’t there yet. The Steelers have found an identity running the football and they’re going to stick with that, but I think Pickett is starting to gain a lot of confidence after back-to-back weeks with game winning TD drives. I expect him to start pushing the ball a little bit more when the Steelers are in the red zone and the offensive staff to trust him to do that.
Najee Harris Over 73.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Harris had the best game of his career as a Steeler in Baltimore last week. That has to be huge for his confidence. He’s finally running decisively, hitting the hole, and finishing runs. He’s using his size and athleticism to do something other than hurdle on cornerback a game on a seven yard run and it’s fantastic to see. Cleveland has a horrendous run defense, they’re built with small, athletic linebackers who will have a tough time tackling this version of Najee.
David Njoku Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
The Steelers defense has been better, especially against the run, but they’ve had a hell of time covering tight ends this year. Last week, Mark Andrews went for 100 yards on nine catches, Isaiah Likely had three catches for 12 yards and a touchdown, and the last time Pittsburgh saw Njoku he went off. Back in Week 3, he caught nine of his ten targets for 89 yards and a touchdown.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change