#4 Diontae Johnson
Normally Johnson would have ranked higher on this list, but face it he had a huge drop off in fantasy point production from 2021. In one season, he dropped almost 100 fantasy points. The huge factor was not his decrease in reception yards, but that didn’t help. He did not have one touchdown in all of 2022; considering he had eight in 2021, it’s a considerable dropoff.
With a shabby performance in 2022, it’s doubtful he would produce similar numbers or worse in 2023. He is a highly talented receiver capable of big plays, and the Steelers passing game should be markedly better in 2023, but how much better is a point of contention till we see them play? His slide in production hopefully will stop, and he should make a decent rebound. His receiving yardage may or may not go up much with the addition of Allen Robinson to the Steelers, but it’s highly improbable that Johnson would be held out of the endzone for two straight seasons.
Projections have him with just under 1000 yards and six touchdowns, which would put him back in the range of about 280 fantasy points. Still, it would be shy of the 319 fantasy points he posted in 2021. The key here is that he has nowhere to go but up after an abysmal fantasy season in 2022.