The Steelers have a rebuilt team this offseason, as both the offense and defense have a lot of new faces and a new identity to incorporate. While I have some optimism about the season, I also recognize that there are some key young players that will ultimately determine the overall success of this team.
I’m creating and analyzing the variance I think we can see in these players’ seasons, from a horrible season, to what I expect, to them blowing my expectations out of the water. I’m assuming the player stays healthy and stays relatively consistent with some of his stats. Any variance will be where we see the projected improvement or lack thereof.
We are starting this series with Kenny Pickett, as the quarterback enters his second season with the team.
Pickett had a mediocre first season with the Steelers. His early season was erratic and sloppy, and while he cleaned a lot of that up later in the season, he lacked big plays and struggled to score.
Despite all of this, fans are extraordinarily high on the sophomore quarterback. I want to try and see what a realistic stat line is for Pickett though. I’ve extrapolated the stats below, which would have been his rookie season had he started every game.
As you can see, these stats are pretty bad overall. I really wanted Pickett to be a more accurate passer considering one of his top traits in school was his accuracy. The biggest issue was his touchdown/interception numbers. Those need to be trending in the opposite direction. With plenty of areas to improve, here is a breakdown of every route Pickett could go in his second season.