What if Harris has an average season for the Steelers?
It was hard to gauge what an average season would look like for Harris. On one hand, a pair of seasons that were lackluster in nature and inefficient makes me believe that he will remain that way. On the other hand, this team has an improved offensive line and has focused this offense around Harris and the run game.
What makes Harris tricky is his hype (consistently high) and the lack of production despite the less-than-ideal situation. Is Harris purely a byproduct of a poor offensive line? If he is, then he may disappoint this season, at least early on. This line is going to be better, but it will need some time to get used to playing together.
Thus, I predict that Harris has another slow start to the year as the line gets its act together. He struggles to produce on his own and has a mediocre average early in the season. Once the line improves, so does Harris.
It is his most efficient season to date. He finally averages over four yards a carry for the season and sees a slight increase in workload from last year. No, he isn’t going to be the only back for this offense, but he makes the most of his opportunities.
His receiving workload, while not impressive, is still a slight upgrade from last year. I strived to have a true average workload based on his two seasons in the league on top of a slightly better efficiency. This line should give him more opportunities, and Harris should be productive even if he still lacks the big plays you want in a star back.