With his first touchdown pass on Sunday, Aaron Rodgers leapfrogged his predecessor in Green Bay, Brett Favre, for fourth place on the NFL’s all-time career touchdowns list. He currently sits at 510 touchdown passes, but he’s looking up at third place, occupied by Peyton Manning, who threw 539.
It’s not totally impossible for Rodgers to pass Manning on that list, but it does seem unlikely. He would need 38 touchdown passes in the 2025 campaign to do so. Of course, Rodgers hasn’t thrown for 30+ touchdowns in a season since 2021, his most recent MVP season in which he threw 37 touchdowns. Still, he does lead the league in touchdown passes through three weeks with seven, so if he keeps up the pace, he has a real shot.
But, even if Rodgers has reached his soft cap on his rise on the career touchdowns list, he still has at least one spot to move up on the yardage list. Just as he passed a legendary Packers quarterback on the touchdowns list, he’s set to move past a Steelers legend in the same manner.
Aaron Rodgers’ next milestone puts him on track to surpass a Pittsburgh Steelers icon
Currently, Rodgers sits at sixth on the all-time passing yards list with 63,538 yards. He actually moved up to sixth this week, passing Philip Rivers. Now, Rodgers is looking up at former Steelers legend Ben Roethlisberger on the list, who threw for 64,088 yards.
Just 550 yards separate the current Steelers quarterback from arguably the best to ever wear the black and gold at quarterback. So, just how long will it take Rodgers to jump in front of Roethlisberger on the list?
Through three weeks, Rodgers is averaging 195.3 passing yards per game, notably the lowest average of his career as a starter, excluding 2023. If he strictly hit his average, Rodgers would pass Roethlisberger in three games, on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals. Of course, one huge game in between could certainly make it possible to accomplish it at home the week prior against the Cleveland Browns.
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With two tough defenses lined up in the next three games, there’s a non-zero chance he could surpass Roethlisberger at home in Week 8 in his first game against the Green Bay Packers. Obviously, that doesn’t spell favorable outcomes over the next month, so hopefully that’s not the case.
Regardless, once Rodgers does pass Roethlisberger, fifth will likely be as high as Rodgers gets on the list. Fourth place is held by Favre, who threw for 71,838 yards. Rodgers would likely have to play in 2027 for him to eclipse his predecessor once again, and the odds of him playing in 2026 are already low enough.